Polymarket | multi | Open

Fed rate cut by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

24h Volume

$39.8K

Total Volume

$1.50M

Liquidity

$114.7K

Ends In

48d 13h

FedJerome PowellEconomyEconomic PolicyFed RatesFinance

Markets / Outcomes

Full event view with all normalized outcome rows from Polymarket.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Open

YES 57%NO 43%

YES 57.5cNO 42.5c

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Open

YES 46%NO 54%

YES 46.2cNO 53.8c

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Open

YES 31%NO 69%

YES 30.9cNO 69.2c

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Open

YES 23%NO 78%

YES 22.5cNO 77.5c

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Open

YES 7%NO 93%

YES 7.0cNO 93.0c

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Open

YES 0%NO 100%

YES 0.3cNO 99.8c

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Resolved

YES 0%NO 100%

YES 0.0cNO 100.0c

Outcome: No

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Resolved

YES 0%NO 100%

YES 0.0cNO 100.0c

Outcome: No