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Polymarket | multi | Open

Iran leadership change by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

24h Volume

$282.8K

Total Volume

$11.53M

Liquidity

$619.1K

Ends In

245d 16h

MojtabaayatollahPoliticsIran RegimeGeopoliticsIranKhameneiMojtaba KhameneiKhamenei outMojtaba out

Markets / Outcomes

Full event view with all normalized outcome rows from Polymarket.

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Open
YES 40%NO 61%
YES 39.5cNO 60.5c

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Open
YES 23%NO 78%
YES 22.5cNO 77.5c

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Open
YES 14%NO 86%
YES 14.5cNO 85.5c

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Open
YES 1%NO 99%
YES 0.8cNO 99.3c

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Resolved
YES 0%NO 100%
YES 0.0cNO 100.0c

Outcome: No

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Resolved
YES 0%NO 100%
YES 0.0cNO 100.0c

Outcome: No

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