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Polymarket | multi | Open

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

24h Volume

$6.19M

Total Volume

$7.16M

Liquidity

$6.06M

Ends In

Starting now

PoliticsmenchoMexicoMexico Cartel WarGeopolitics

Markets / Outcomes

Full event view with all normalized outcome rows from Polymarket.

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Open
YES 100%NO 0%
YES 100.0cNO 0.1c

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?

Resolved
YES 100%NO 0%
YES 100.0cNO 0.0c

Outcome: Yes

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?

Resolved
YES 0%NO 100%
YES 0.0cNO 100.0c

Outcome: No

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